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People

The people behind the atlas's ideas: what each proposed, where they worked, what they discuss, and the predictions they put on record.

People

In alphabetical order.

Alan Turing

LayersL5

He matters for "can machines think": he turned that philosophical question into a game you can actually run. In 1950, when computers could only calculate ballistic tables, he predicted machines that learn.

Related
Computing Machinery and Intelligence (proposed) · The first wave: symbols and expert systems (discusses)
Linked from
Computing Machinery and Intelligence (proposed)
Sources
The ACM Turing Award is named after him; award page (checked 2026-10-08)

Alec Radford

LayersL2L5

First author of GPT-1, GPT-2, CLIP and Whisper. OpenAI's "generative pre-training" line took shape in his experiments.

Related
Improving Language Understanding by Generative Pre-Training (proposed) · Language Models are Unsupervised Multitask Learners (proposed) · Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision (proposed) · OpenAI (works at)
Linked from
Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision (proposed) · Improving Language Understanding by Generative Pre-Training (proposed) · Language Models are Unsupervised Multitask Learners (proposed)
Sources
GPT-1 release page (checked 2026-10-08)

Alex Krizhevsky

LayersL1L5

First author of AlexNet. He wrote the code that trained a convolutional network on two GPU cards himself. The breakout moment of deep learning carries his name.

Related
ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed) · University of Toronto (works at)
Linked from
ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed)
Sources
AlexNet paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Andrej Karpathy

LayersL2L5

What matters about him at the history layer is not his research but his teaching. From the 1989 reproduction of LeCun's network to "one hour on LLMs", he explained the technical thread of the three waves to more people than anyone else.

Related
OpenAI (works at) · Transformer (teaches) · The Second Wave: Statistical Learning and Deep Learning (discusses)
Predictions on record
This is "the decade of agents", not "the year of agents". Gaps like continual learning are solvable but hard, and closing them will take about ten years.
Sources
Personal site (checked 2026-10-08)

Andrew Ng

LayersL1L5

The teacher who has explained machine learning to the most people: his ML course on Coursera was the entry point for a generation of engineers, and he runs The Batch, which squeezes the frontier into one page every week. On this map he matters for the "teaching" edge, not for research.

Related
The Batch (released) · Stanford AI Lab (SAIL) (works at) · Classical machine learning: learning from examples (teaches)
Linked from
The Batch (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Arthur Mensch

LayersL5

Co-author of the Chinchilla paper. He founded Mistral in 2023. Mistral 7B beat larger models with fewer parameters, and it is the main example of the European open-weights approach.

Related
Mistral AI (works at) · Google DeepMind (works at)
Linked from
Mistral AI (works at)
Sources
Mistral AI official website (checked 2026-10-08)

Arthur Samuel

LayersL5

The 1959 checkers program improved its evaluation function through self-play and ended up playing better than its author. He is also the one who coined the term "machine learning".

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · IBM Research (works at)
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IBM Research (works at)
Sources
The 1959 checkers paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Ashish Vaswani

LayersL2L5

First author of the Transformer paper. Took all the recurrence out of sequence models and kept only attention. It became the backbone of every large model since.

Related
Attention Is All You Need (proposed) · Google (works at)
Linked from
Attention Is All You Need (proposed)
Predictions on record
Sequence modeling can be faster and better using only attention, with no recurrence and no convolution.
Sources
Transformer paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Clément Delangue

LayersL4L5

CEO of Hugging Face. The transformers library and the model hub standardized how pretrained models are distributed. The open-weights ecosystem has a "GitHub" thanks in part to him.

Related
Hugging Face (works at)
Linked from
Hugging Face (works at)
Sources
Hugging Face website (checked 2026-10-08)

Daniel Kokotajlo

LayersL5

Former OpenAI governance researcher and lead author of the AI 2027 scenario. He wrote "AGI within a few years" as a dated timeline. So of all the opinions, this one is the easiest to falsify and the most worth reviewing when the dates come due.

Related
The third wave: scaling and LLM (discusses) · OpenAI (works at)
Predictions on record
Around March 2027 a superhuman programmer appears that can finish multi-year software tasks at 80% reliability, and it goes all the way to superintelligence within 2027 (the author's modal year; the median is later).
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Dario Amodei

LayersL2L5

While VP of Research at OpenAI, he led GPT-2, GPT-3 and scaling laws. In 2021 he left with a team and founded Anthropic. He is the author of the "scaling + safety" narrative.

Related
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (proposed) · Anthropic (works at) · OpenAI (works at)
Linked from
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (proposed)
Predictions on record
AI that is better than almost all humans at almost everything will most likely appear in 2026–2027. The cost is millions of chips and at least tens of billions of dollars.
Sources
Anthropic company page (checked 2026-10-08)

David Silver

LayersL2L5

The reinforcement learning lead behind DQN, AlphaGo and AlphaZero. The "self-play + search" line, from TD-Gammon to AlphaZero, came together in his hands.

Related
Playing Atari with Deep Reinforcement Learning (proposed) · Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search (proposed) · Google DeepMind (works at)
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Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search (proposed) · Playing Atari with Deep Reinforcement Learning (proposed)
Sources
AlphaGo paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Demis Hassabis

LayersL5

Founder of DeepMind. AlphaGo changed the image of deep learning from "recognizing pictures" to "making decisions". AlphaFold took it into scientific discovery, and that work won the Nobel Prize.

Related
Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search (proposed) · Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold (proposed) · Google DeepMind (works at)
Linked from
Highly accurate protein structure prediction with AlphaFold (proposed) · Mastering the game of Go with deep neural networks and tree search (proposed)
Predictions on record
The capabilities of AGI (AI that matches humans on any task) will arrive one by one over the next 5–10 years. We are not there yet.
Sources
2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry (checked 2026-10-08)

Douglas Lenat

LayersL5

The founder of Cyc. Starting in 1984, he spent almost forty years hand-coding common sense. It was the longest and most thorough experiment of the symbolic school, and how it ended is the best case study for why knowledge can't be written by hand.

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · The first wave: symbols and expert systems (discusses)
Sources
Cyc project entry (checked 2026-10-08)

Dwarkesh Patel

LayersL5

Host of the long-form interview podcast: he questions one person for three hours and gets people inside the labs to say the judgments they don't usually put in blog posts. Most of what we hear from key people at the frontier comes through him.

Related
Dwarkesh Podcast (released) · The third wave: scaling and LLM (discusses)
Linked from
Dwarkesh Podcast (released)
Predictions on record
AI that learns on the job like a person and can do any white-collar job has a 50% chance of arriving before 2032. An earlier milestone: a 50% chance by 2028 that it can do a small business's taxes end to end.
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Dylan Patel

LayersL3L5

Founder of SemiAnalysis. He works out the cost of AI from chips, power and data centers. Most of the numbers in the compute economics section trace back to him.

Related
SemiAnalysis (released) · The economics of compute: where training money goes, how inference is priced (discusses)
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SemiAnalysis (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Edward Feigenbaum

LayersL5

The father of expert systems. DENDRAL showed that domain knowledge matters more than general reasoning. He summarized this as knowledge engineering, and he personally drove the expert-system industry of the 1980s.

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · Stanford AI Lab (SAIL) (works at)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (1994) (checked 2026-10-08)

Fei-Fei Li

LayersL1L5

The person who started ImageNet. She bet on data scale at a time when algorithms got more attention than data. The 2012 AlexNet breakthrough happened on her dataset.

Related
ImageNet (proposed) · Stanford AI Lab (SAIL) (works at)
Linked from
ImageNet (proposed)
Sources
ImageNet official website (checked 2026-10-08)

Frank Rosenblatt

LayersL5

The inventor of the perceptron. He was the first to have a machine learn weights from examples and build it in hardware. His approach was suppressed for a generation and only proved right after 1986.

Related
The Perceptron: A Probabilistic Model for Information Storage and Organization in the Brain (proposed)
Linked from
The Perceptron: A Probabilistic Model for Information Storage and Organization in the Brain (proposed)
Sources
1958 paper (Penn mirror) (checked 2026-10-08)

Geoffrey Hinton

LayersL1L5

The person who held out longest through the neural network winter: he popularized backpropagation in 1986, reignited deep learning in 2006, and built AlexNet with his students in 2012. After leaving Google in 2023, he turned to warning about the risks.

Related
Learning representations by back-propagating errors (proposed) · A fast learning algorithm for deep belief nets (proposed) · ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed) · University of Toronto (works at) · Google (works at)
Linked from
ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed) · Learning representations by back-propagating errors (proposed) · A fast learning algorithm for deep belief nets (proposed) · Deep learning (proposed) · University of Toronto (works at)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (2018); 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics (checked 2026-10-08)

Ian Goodfellow

LayersL1L5

Inventor of the GAN (said to have come up with it in one night), the starting point of the deep generative model line; also the first author of the textbook Deep Learning.

Related
Generative Adversarial Nets (proposed) · Mila – Quebec AI Institute (works at) · Google (works at)
Linked from
Generative Adversarial Nets (proposed)
Sources
GAN paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Ilya Sutskever

LayersL2L5

From AlexNet to seq2seq to GPT, he was there at the turning point of each of the three waves. Former chief scientist at OpenAI and the earliest evangelist of the scaling faith. He left in 2024 and founded SSI.

Related
ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed) · Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks (proposed) · Improving Language Understanding by Generative Pre-Training (proposed) · OpenAI (works at) · Google (works at)
Linked from
ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (proposed) · Improving Language Understanding by Generative Pre-Training (proposed) · Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks (proposed)
Predictions on record
The scaling era (2020–2025) is over and we are back to the age of research. Current methods will stall after a while, because data is limited. Systems that learn like humans and then surpass them are still 5–20 years away.
Sources
NeurIPS 2024 Test of Time Award talk (checked 2026-10-08)

Jack Clark

LayersL5

Co-founder of Anthropic. Before that, he worked on policy at OpenAI. He has run the Import AI weekly newsletter for nearly ten years. It is the most reliable feed I know for "which papers are worth noticing this week."

Related
Import AI (released) · Anthropic (works at) · The third wave: scaling and LLM (discusses)
Linked from
Import AI (released)
Predictions on record
By the end of 2028 there is a 60%+ chance of fully unattended AI R&D. About 30% in 2027, and none in 2026. If it does not happen, the current paradigm has a fundamental flaw.
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Jared Kaplan

LayersL2L5

A physicist by training and the first author of the scaling laws paper. He turned "how much loss does more compute buy" into a power law you can extrapolate. Co-founder of Anthropic.

Related
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (proposed) · Anthropic (works at) · OpenAI (works at)
Linked from
Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models (proposed)
Sources
Scaling Laws paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Jeff Dean

LayersL3L5

He founded Google Brain and turned deep learning from a research project into Google's infrastructure (DistBelief, TensorFlow, TPU). He is now Google's Chief Scientist.

Related
Google (works at) · The Second Wave: Statistical Learning and Deep Learning (discusses)
Linked from
Google (works at)
Sources
Google Research website (checked 2026-10-08)

Jensen Huang

LayersL3L5

Founder of NVIDIA. CUDA turned the GPU into a general-purpose computing device. Since AlexNet, the GPU has been the physical foundation of deep learning, and this whole wave of scaling pays its bill to him.

Related
NVIDIA (works at) · The third wave: scaling and LLM (discusses)
Linked from
NVIDIA (works at)
Predictions on record
Global spending on data center construction will reach one trillion dollars a year in 2028, earlier than the 2030 he gave before.
Sources
NVIDIA research page (checked 2026-10-08)

John McCarthy

LayersL5

He gave the field its name (1956 Dartmouth proposal), invented Lisp, and held to the line that intelligence is formal reasoning. In the 1973 Lighthill debate, he was the one defending AI.

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · Stanford AI Lab (SAIL) (works at) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (1971) (checked 2026-10-08)

Joseph Weizenbaum

LayersL5

The author of ELIZA. He was surprised that users got emotionally attached to a pattern-matching program, and he spent the rest of his life criticizing AI's overblown promises. The difference between "seems to understand" and "really understands" starts with him.

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at)
Sources
ELIZA paper, CACM 1966 (checked 2026-10-08)

Judea Pearl

LayersL5L1

Bayesian networks made reasoning under uncertainty computable and brought probability back into an AI field ruled by logic. He represents the statistical side of the second wave, and he later turned to causal inference.

Related
The Second Wave: Statistical Learning and Deep Learning (proposed) · Classical machine learning: learning from examples (solves)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (2011) (checked 2026-10-08)

Jürgen Schmidhuber

LayersL1L5

Co-author of LSTM and head of IDSIA. Around 2011, his lab won several competitions with GPU convolutional networks. He has long argued that many "new" ideas were already done by his group.

Related
Long Short-Term Memory (proposed) · IDSIA (works at)
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Long Short-Term Memory (proposed) · IDSIA (works at)
Sources
IDSIA website (checked 2026-10-08)

Kaiming He

LayersL1L5

First author of ResNet. Residual connections made networks with a hundred layers trainable. Since then they have been standard in every deep network, including the Transformer.

Related
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition (proposed) · Microsoft (works at) · Meta AI (FAIR) (works at) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at)
Linked from
Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition (proposed) · Microsoft (works at)
Sources
ResNet paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Liang Wenfeng

LayersL5

The founder of DeepSeek. He used a quant fund's compute and a small team to build open-weight reasoning models, and showed that frontier capability is not the property of a few American labs.

Related
DeepSeek (works at) · DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning (proposed)
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DeepSeek (works at)
Sources
DeepSeek official website (checked 2026-10-08)

Lilian Weng

LayersL2L4

The author of Lil'Log: every few months she writes a long post that walks one area (agent, RLHF, diffusion models) from start to finish. It is the first survey I open when I need to look up when needed.

Related
Lil'Log(Lilian Weng 的博客) (released) · Agent: a model with tools in a loop (teaches) · Post-training: shaping with rewards (teaches)
Linked from
Lil'Log(Lilian Weng 的博客) (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Marvin Minsky

LayersL5

One of the founders of the MIT AI Lab. His book Perceptrons left neural networks dormant for more than ten years, yet he started out in neural networks himself (SNARC). The standard-bearer of the symbolic school.

Related
Perceptrons: An Introduction to Computational Geometry (proposed) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at)
Linked from
Perceptrons: An Introduction to Computational Geometry (proposed) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (1969) (checked 2026-10-08)

Nathan Lambert

LayersL2L5

Author of Interconnects and a post-training researcher at Ai2. He also wrote the public book on RLHF. On post-training and open models, his judgment is the most first-hand.

Related
Interconnects (released) · Post-training: shaping with rewards (teaches)
Linked from
Interconnects (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Noam Shazeer

LayersL2L5

Co-author of the Transformer. Also proposed sparsely-gated mixture of experts (MoE) and multi-query attention. Left Google to found Character.AI, then was bought back in 2024.

Related
Attention Is All You Need (proposed) · Google (works at)
Sources
Transformer paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Paul Christiano

LayersL2L5

The original authors of RLHF: in 2017 they trained a reward model on pairwise human comparisons, and in 2022 the same method produced InstructGPT. After that, they focused on alignment research.

Related
Deep Reinforcement Learning from Human Preferences (proposed) · Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback (proposed) · OpenAI (works at)
Linked from
Deep Reinforcement Learning from Human Preferences (proposed) · Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback (proposed)
Sources
RLHF prototype paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Richard Sutton

LayersL2L5

Author of the standard reinforcement learning textbook and originator of temporal-difference learning. His 2019 essay The Bitter Lesson is the most cited single page of the scaling era. 2024 Turing Award.

Related
The Bitter Lesson (proposed) · Post-training: shaping with rewards (solves)
Linked from
The Bitter Lesson (proposed)
Sources
Wikipedia entry (the author's personal site, incompleteideas.net, is http only) (checked 2026-10-08)

Sam Altman

LayersL5

CEO of OpenAI. He turned a nonprofit research lab into a product company built around ChatGPT. He is also a main driver of the compute arms race.

Related
OpenAI (works at) · The third wave: scaling and LLM (discusses)
Predictions on record
In 2026 we will likely see systems that can come up with novel insights on their own. In 2027 we may see robots that can do work in the real world.
Sources
OpenAI website (checked 2026-10-08)

Sebastian Raschka

LayersL2

Author of Build a Large Language Model (From Scratch): a book and companion repo that write a GPT line by line, the reference answer for the L2 reproduction project. Ahead of AI tracks new papers.

Related
Ahead of AI (released) · Transformer (teaches)
Linked from
Ahead of AI (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Sepp Hochreiter

LayersL1L5

His 1991 master's thesis already pointed out the vanishing gradient problem, and LSTM was his answer. It was the default backbone of sequence modeling before the Transformer.

Related
Long Short-Term Memory (proposed)
Linked from
Long Short-Term Memory (proposed)
Sources
LSTM paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Simon Willison

LayersL4

Co-creator of Django. For the past few years he has logged, every day, how LLM tools work in practice. The term prompt injection and the "lethal trifecta" framing both come from his blog. He is the most diligent front-line observer of the application engineering layer.

Related
Simon Willison's Weblog (released) · Security: the model acts on text it should not trust (teaches) · Agent: a model with tools in a loop (teaches)
Linked from
Simon Willison's Weblog (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

swyx (Shawn Wang)

LayersL4L6

He runs Latent Space. He pushed the "AI Engineer" job title and its annual conference into use. Half of the vocabulary in the role family section comes from here.

Related
Latent Space (released) · Role families: how AI jobs are divided (discusses)
Linked from
Latent Space (released)
Sources
Personal site / official page (checked 2026-10-08)

Terry Winograd

LayersL5

SHRDLU is the peak demo of symbolic natural language understanding. He later admitted himself that this path could not get out of the blocks world, and he turned to human-computer interaction.

Related
The first wave: symbols and expert systems (proposed) · MIT AI Lab / CSAIL (works at) · Stanford AI Lab (SAIL) (works at)
Sources
SHRDLU author page (checked 2026-10-08)

Tomáš Mikolov

LayersL2L5

Author of word2vec. He cut the language model down to a single prediction task, which let him train word vectors on a billion words. Pretrained representations became routine starting with his work.

Related
Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space (proposed) · Google (works at) · Meta AI (FAIR) (works at)
Linked from
Efficient Estimation of Word Representations in Vector Space (proposed)
Sources
word2vec paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Vladimir Vapnik

LayersL1L5

Author of statistical learning theory (VC dimension) and the support vector machine. In the 2000s, the classifiers with theoretical guarantees were his. Deep learning only overtook them in 2012.

Related
Support-Vector Networks (proposed) · Bell Labs (works at)
Linked from
Support-Vector Networks (proposed) · Bell Labs (works at)
Sources
SVM paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Warren McCulloch

LayersL5

With Walter Pitts, he wrote the neuron as a logic unit. This paper is the shared starting point of both the neural network and symbolic computation lines.

Related
A Logical Calculus of the Ideas Immanent in Nervous Activity (proposed)
Linked from
A Logical Calculus of the Ideas Immanent in Nervous Activity (proposed)
Sources
The 1943 paper page (checked 2026-10-08)

Yann LeCun

LayersL1L5

Founder of convolutional networks. In 1989 he used backpropagation to recognize zip codes. He later founded Meta's FAIR and argued for open research, and he pushed the open route for LLaMA.

Related
Gradient-Based Learning Applied to Document Recognition (proposed) · Deep learning (proposed) · Bell Labs (works at) · Meta AI (FAIR) (works at)
Linked from
Deep learning (proposed) · Gradient-Based Learning Applied to Document Recognition (proposed) · Bell Labs (works at) · Meta AI (FAIR) (works at) · MNIST (proposed)
Predictions on record
The current LLM paradigm has only 3–5 years left. If JEPA-style world models succeed within that window, they will give a better paradigm for reasoning and planning and make the LLM route obsolete.
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (2018) (checked 2026-10-08)

Yoshua Bengio

LayersL1L2L5

The 2003 neural language model is a common source of both word vectors and the LLM. In 2014, his lab produced the attention mechanism and GANs. He stayed in academia and founded Mila.

Related
A Neural Probabilistic Language Model (proposed) · Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate (proposed) · Generative Adversarial Nets (proposed) · Mila – Quebec AI Institute (works at)
Linked from
Deep learning (proposed) · Generative Adversarial Nets (proposed) · A Neural Probabilistic Language Model (proposed) · Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate (proposed) · Mila – Quebec AI Institute (works at)
Sources
ACM Turing Award page (2018) (checked 2026-10-08)

Translated from the author's Chinese notes by a model; the Chinese page is the original.